Tuesday, November 23, 2010

6000 points on the stock market and property market to steadily high

 Point to the 6000 stock market spiraling higher
stock and property markets in the long perspective, but also to a 6,000-point, the property market from the long-term point of view, or the price to rise. But this does not affect the short-term adjustment, or affect you do not lose money in the short term, even long-term development to lose money.
nine silver with gold ten forward the traditional peak season, the market is entering a stage of elusive, essentially sense, this is for business and residential real estate market upside down serious correction; In addition,Discount UGG boots, if prices rise slowly, is conducive to economic development, boost consumption growth, but if prices rose too fast, the positive factors will become a negative factor.
recent adjustments may have to face the housing market, this adjustment is not an absolute price adjustment, and adjustment of the rate of increase, of course, may also be under the absolute price point, but not too much. Shanghai real estate market in the second quarter and third quarter rate of increase more than 40 %, this is not a normal market as it should be, the Government consciously increase land supply, the increase in land supply will lead to stabilize the market price. For example, 77 land transfer notice, Minhang District, introduced two more than 17 hectares residential land is for residential use. This is a trend, both to stabilize the market, the other is to increase revenue.
and commercial real estate is still low, the recent introduction of the land is basically no commercial land, commercial real estate is being ushered in New Year. Chinese New Year ushered in the commercial real estate, employment is very good, but also because the prosperity of business enterprises in the expansion and that consumer confidence in the expansion.
structure currently in circulation have been reversed, to the end of the year to 74 outstanding shares %, thus eliminating the size and size limits are not the greatest threat to the market. Middle of the stock market generally has 2.6 years of the cycle. {there is something called the Kitchin inventory cycle period, as short-wave cycle,UGG boots clearance, the wavelength of about 2-4 years (40 months) about relationships is this: 3 Zhu Glasgow inventory cycle = one cycle, the inventory cycle 18 to form a Kondratieff cycle}, this round of the rising cycle of the second quarter of 2010 end. But the new round of prices in this cycle, based on a cycle, hopefully onto the 6,UGG shoes,000-point, but I think it may take three years, which is next up cycle time, which is also with us this a peak starting the economy the same time period. (the stock market two and a half years of economic cycles and small cycles, the real estate cycle will be superimposed a small part of the superposition of the peak is high, is likely to rush 6000 or even higher)
the movement of the real estate cycle is very consistent with the economic cycle, so the classification of the economic cycle also applies to the real estate cycle. is generally ten years period, Zhu Glasgow cycle is 9 to 10 years, manifested in China in the period a decade.
Graham Zhu World Economy in 2008 years cycle has catastrophic effects may occur years before this disaster, this decade, only two real estate fluctuations in small cycles, small cycles and economic fluctuations, 4 market cycles. Of course, this should enlarge view, we should mind more freely and steadily, to peep these messy things hidden behind some small clues.
China by the improvement in the property market and the stock market is to provide a favorable environment. Yao pointed out that the measure of economic trends in China is an important indicator is the large-scale industrial added value. scale industrial added value last year, a quarter from the year (previous year year) increased by 16.4%, falling all the way in February of this year rose 3.8% to 8 after the recovery has been an increase of 12.3% in January, formed a very clear V-shaped curve.
According to Marx's analysis, generally economic cycle is divided into four phases: crisis,UGG boots, depression, recovery, and high. It is also of a cycle, big or small the main basis. Marx stresses the essence of the cycle: the factory system of the great leap forward in scalability and its dependence on the world market, will inevitably lead to fever-like production and consequent market flooded with goods, and when the market shrinks to a standstill state. industrial life in accordance with the prosperity, overproduction, crisis, stagnation period of the order of these The constant conversion. Because of this cycle of transformation of industrial cycle, machine production so that workers in employment and thus encountered in the life state of insecurity and instability, has become a normal phenomenon. if only to prove the market cycle In fact, production and demand is the process of adaptation, not a straight up economy, and straight up great harm to economies, because economic development also involves the issue of economic fairness, not just talk about efficiency. < br> 6000 points on the stock market is a matter of time, the property market steadily behind the high volatility, high straight line or else. Now the housing market is likely to face tremendous pressure, and commercial real estate may be ushered in New Year.

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